The En-ROADS Baseline scenario is not intended to capture current policy aspirations. It does not include the net-zero emissions pledges by China, South Korea, Japan, and the European Union, for instance. It also does not include the Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement or long term continuation of other national policies. This is different from some other models’ baseline scenarios, and it is important to keep this distinction in mind. We chose to construct the En-ROADS Baseline scenario in this way because “pledged” or “announced” policies can be altered or never be implemented. Governments change and priorities shift. As a result, you can use En-ROADS yourself to simulate the effects of NDCs and other policy actions by comparing your scenario to the Baseline scenario in which those policy actions are not taken.
Does the En-ROADS Baseline scenario include countries' future policies or NDCs under the Paris Agreement? Print
Created by: Janet Chikofsky
Modified on: Wed, Dec 9, 2020 at 2:14 PM
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