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Successful 2.0C scenario

Successful Scenario


https://en-roads.climateinteractive.org/scenario.html?p1=40&p7=44&p10=2.1&p16=-0.04&p23=-13&p30=-0.03&p35=1&p39=119&p47=3.3&p50=2.9&p53=2.3&p55=1.7&p57=-3.9&p59=-30&p63=1.9&p64=2.3&p65=52&p67=22&g0=103&g1=86&v=2.7.6


Actions & Outcomes


Actions


Coal (tax/subsidy) = 40 $/tce

Oil (tax/subsidy) = 44 $/boe

Natural Gas (tax/subsidy) = 2.1 $/Mcf

Bioenergy (tax/subsidy) = -13 $/boe

Renewables (tax/subsidy) = -0.04 $/kWh

Nuclear (tax/subsidy) = -0.03 $/kWh

New Technology breakthrough = 1

Carbon price = 119 $/ton

Transport energy efficiency = 2.9 percent/year

Transport electrification = 2.3 percent/year

Buildings and industry energy efficiency = 3.3 percent/year

Electrification of buildings and industry = 1.7 percent/year

Population (UN Scenario range) = 1.9

Economic growth (GDP per person) = 2.3 percent/year

Deforestation (reduce/increase) = -3.9 percent/year

Methane and other gases (reduce/increase) = -30 %

Percent available land for afforestation = 52 %

Technological carbon removal (% of max potential) = 22 %


Outcomes


Temperature increase in 2100 2.0ºC / 3.6ºF


CO2 Concentration in 2100 455 ppm


Sea Level Rise in 2100 1.0 m / 3.3 ft


Cumulative avoided CO2 by 2100 4354 gigatons CO2

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